
[Often, people who are regarded as authoritative opinion-makers in their respective fields forget the prudence of honestly acknowledging uncertainty, and make pronouncements that are widely believed at the time these “fearless declarations” are uttered, but would surely make us laugh after a few decades or even just a few years. Here’s our first example that you might like to encode, right at home, into your own PC’s hard disk.]
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'Home Computers? No Way!'
“There is no reason for any individual
to have a computer in their home.”
.....................–-KENNETH OLSEN
.............................President and Founder, Digital Equipment Corporation. ..
.....................This was said with certainty in 1977 ..(cited by Sean .............................Covey (Stephen's son), The Seven Habits of Highly- .............................Successful Teenagers
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Only Five Computers
for the World?
“No one can see into the future. What I try to do is outline possible ‘futures’ – although totally unexpected inventions or events can render predictions absurd after only a few years. The classic example is the statement, made in the late 1940s, by the then chairman of IBM that the world market for computers was five. I have more than that in my own office.”
ARTHUR C. CLARKE, well-known futurist,
“Beyond 2001,” Reader’s Digest, February, 2001
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