Tuesday, August 2, 2011

LSD-1 Dead-Sure, But...






[Often, people who are regarded as authoritative opinion-makers in their respective fields forget the prudence of honestly acknow­ledging uncertainty, and make pronounce­ments that are widely believed at the time these “fearless declarations” are uttered, but would surely make us laugh after a few decades or even just a few years. Here’s our first example that you might like to encode, right at home, into your own PC’s hard disk.]

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'Home Computers? No Way!'

There is no reason for any individual

to have a computer in their home.”

.....................–-KENNETH OLSEN

.............................President and Founder, Digital Equipment Corporation. ..

.....................This was said with certainty in 1977 ..(cited by Sean .............................Covey (Stephen's son), The Seven Habits of Highly- .............................Successful Teenagers

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Only Five Computers

for the World?

“No one can see into the future. What I try to do is outline possible ‘futures’ – although totally un­expected inventions or events can render pre­dictions absurd after only a few years. The classic example is the statement, made in the late 1940s, by the then chairman of IBM that the world market for computers was five. I have more than that in my own office.”

ARTHUR C. CLARKE, well-known futurist,

“Beyond 2001,” Reader’s Digest, February, 2001

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